Why the economics of orbital AI are so brutal
What Happened
A 1 GW orbital data center would cost roughly $42.4 billion — almost three times its ground-bound equivalent.
Our Take
Honestly? A 1 GW orbital data center costs $42B to launch. Ground equivalent is $14B. So we're spending 3x more to put servers... in space.
For latency that fiber-optic cables already solve. This is the "because we can" energy that kills startups and VCs alike.
The actual problems — power density, cooling, data gravity — aren't solved by going orbital. They're worse. We'll hear "orbital AI" as a trend for exactly two more years, then it vanishes. Book it.
What To Do
Stop evaluating orbital infrastructure as a cost problem; it's a physics problem with a hard economics ceiling.
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